Economic Research Forum (ERF)

Yilmaz Kilicaslan

Author

Yilmaz Kilicaslan
Professor of Economics, Faculty of Economics of Anadolu University, Eskisehir, Turkey

Dr. Yilmaz Kilicaslan is a Professor of Economics at the Faculty of Economics of Anadolu University, Eskisehir, Turkey and a Research Associate of Economic research Forum (ERF), Egypt. After he graduated from the Department of Economics of Anadolu University with B.Sc. in Economics in 1993, he went to Northeastern University, Boston, MA, USA with a government scholarship in 1995. He received an M.A. degree in Economics at Northeastern University in 1997. In 1999, He started his Ph.D. study at the Department of Economics of the Middle East Technical University in Ankara, Turkey where he also worked as a Research Assistant during his Ph.D. study. After completing his Ph.D. in 2005, he started to work as an Assistant Professor of Economics at the Department of Economics of Anadolu University. During 2007-2008, he worked at the Working Lives Research Institute (WLRI) of London Metropolitan University, London, UK as a Research Fellow. He worked as a visiting professor at the Department of Economics of Rice University, Houston, TX, USA during the summer of 2013. Dr. Kilicaslan served as a Member of Advisory Board at The Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK), Ankara, Turkey between 2018-2022. He is currently a Member of Executive Board of Social and Humanities Research Support Group at The Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey, Ankara, Turkey. His main research areas include economic growth and development, labour markets, industrial development, productivity in manufacturing and other industries, ICT and innovation, and economics of education. He’s been teaching economic growth and development, econometrics, microeconomic theory at both undergraduate and graduate level at both Anadolu University and TOBB University of Economics and Technology.

Content by this Author

Labour market effects of robots: evidence from Turkey

Evidence from developed countries on the impact of automation on labour markets suggests that there can be negative effects on manufacturing jobs, but also mechanisms for workers to move into the services sector. But this narrative may not apply in developing economies. This column reports new evidence from Turkey on the effects of robots on labour displacement and job reallocation.

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How trade policy can reduce MENA’s cereal import vulnerability

Heavy dependence on imported cereals, combined with climate change, water scarcity and geopolitical uncertainty, continues to threaten food resilience across MENA. This column explains how an inclusive trade policy can play a key role in making the region’s food security less vulnerable to shocks.

Digitalisation, global value chains and regional integration in MENA & SSA

Participation in global value chains is vital for countries pursuing structural transformation and inclusive economic development. This column summarises new evidence on how much production processes have been globalised in Africa and the Middle East relative to other regions; whether this process has taken place with partners within or outside the region; and whether it has taken place more in manufacturing or services.

The political economy of algorithms in the Middle East

The Middle East is entering a new political-economic era – one in which algorithms, data and artificial intelligence may become as strategically important as oil once was. Across the region, governments are investing heavily in digital infrastructure, smart governance and AI-driven economic transformation. This column outlines how AI and algorithmic governance are reshaping power, inequality and state capacity in the region.

The risks of a two-speed AI economy in MENA

Much of the debate about artificial intelligence in the Middle East and North Africa focuses on how many jobs it will replace. As this column explains, the more important challenge is that the new technology is likely to create a two-speed labour market, where countries with the capacity to invest in digital infrastructure and skills move rapidly ahead while others struggle to keep pace. Unless governments combine credible national reforms with targeted regional cooperation, AI could widen, not reduce, the economic divides across MENA.

Sanctions and conflict: why corruption changes the equation

Why do sanctions produce such different political outcomes across the countries that have been targeted? This column reports research examining the role of pre-existing corruption in shaping the relationship between sanctions and subsequent conflict or political instability. The evidence indicates that trade sanctions are associated with higher conflict-related deaths where pre-existing corruption is high.

Financing Lebanon’s Reconstruction: A Compact for Finance, Governance, and Accountability

As Lebanon embarks on another round of reconstruction, the key question is not how much financing can be mobilised, but whether each commitment is linked to a verified need, involves a transparent procurement process, is linked to clearly defined executing and operating institutions, and is based on a liability that is in line with the state’s ability to repay. This column proposes an operational mechanism for establishing that connection: a Reconstruction Finance and Accountability Compact.

From mega-investment to mega-productivity: closing MENA’s conversion gap

Across the Middle East and North Africa, governments are investing heavily in infrastructure, technology, diversification and new industries. Yet capital accumulation alone does not guarantee productivity growth. As this column argues, the region’s deeper challenge is its ‘investment-to-productivity conversion gap’: ensuring that large-scale investment translates consistently into stronger firms, technological diffusion, skills and better jobs. A different metric of success is required: not how much capital is deployed, but how much productive capability that capital leaves behind.

The weak bread chain: cereal supply risks in six MENA economies

The Middle East and North Africa is one of the most food-import-dependent regions of the world, particularly for staple cereals such as barley, maize and wheat, and particularly in six countries – Algeria, Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco and Tunisia. As this column reports, diversifying import sources has become an essential strategy for strengthening food security and improving resilience to geopolitical and climate-related disruptions.

Why energy efficiency still struggles to attract finance in Egypt

Egypt has reduced energy subsidies and gradually adjusted domestic energy prices toward cost-recovery levels, improving the economic case for energy efficiency investments – but financing has not kept pace. Drawing on structured interviews with banks, developers and public officials, this column traces why energy efficiency projects in the country still struggle to attract capital, and sets out how a ‘financing ladder’ used elsewhere – from revolving funds to risk guarantees to green bonds – could close the gap.




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