Economic Research Forum (ERF)

Economic policy management: a new framework for MENA countries

1348
There is a clear need for MENA countries to create policy frameworks that will improve the credibility and effectiveness of economic policy-making. This column outlines the main institutional weaknesses that must be addressed, and the six key elements of a well-structured framework for economic policy management.

In a nutshell

Building an institutional process for economic policy management and coordination in MENA countries is essential to improve policy consistency and effectiveness.

Key elements include a dedicated, multilayered organisational structure and a cadre of professionals within policy institutions to support leaders and principals.

Revamping communications with different public spheres is key to promoting inclusiveness, transparency and policy predictability.

Economic policy management around the world is becoming more complex. Policy-makers must deal with increasing uncertainties, a complex (and sometimes polarised) political landscape, changing socio-economic priorities and challenges, and increasing interconnectedness in a highly globalised world. In their efforts to develop sound and coherent economic policies, policy-makers must also assess near-term risks and benefits, and consider the socio-economic and political effects over time.

To do this, governments must adopt strong and transparent institutional frameworks that are focused on policies not short-sighted procedures. Policies should be designed within robust management frameworks that have clear objectives and instruments aimed at sustainable and equitable economic growth, which should be communicated regularly.

Gaspar et al (2016) outline a comprehensive, consistent and coordinated approach to policy-making. According to their analysis, consistent policy frameworks anchor long-term expectations while allowing decisive short- to medium-term accommodation whenever necessary. This is achieved by systematically linking instruments to policy objectives over time. Policy consistency assists policy effectiveness.

Putting this in a MENA context requires reforming the framework for economic policy management. In many countries in the region, while the economic decision-making process may have sound constitutional and administrative bases, it has been hampered by institutional shortcomings in formulation, coordination, monitoring and communication.

The main institutional weaknesses include:

  • the concentration of power, which places significant managerial and operational responsibilities on policy-makers;
  • the tradition of large governments and cabinets;
  • the lack of standardised organisational frameworks across ministries;
  • the complexity and, in many instances, contradictory nature of legislative acts;
  • systemic gaps in public human resources management;
  • lack of reliable data and information for policy-makers;
  • and the lack of standardised systems of communication.

Improving the framework for economic policy management in MENA countries will depend largely on implementing comprehensive institutional changes to help bridge existing gaps in the policy-making process. Economic policy management covers all policy-making and implementation phases, including:

  • setting strategic policy targets and programmes;
  • monitoring implementation;
  • proposing and pursuing corrective actions;
  • managing vertical inter-organisational and horizontal cross-institutional coordination;
  • overseeing organisational reforms and development efforts;
  • and managing policy deliberations and communication with the public.

There are six thematic areas that need to be addressed to overcome institutional shortcomings, and help to create consistent frameworks that would improve both the credibility and effectiveness of economic policy management in MENA countries, particularly those that have experienced political transitions.

Institutional inclusivity

 The reforms should aim to promote effective participation of public institutions involved in the economic policy management process within the executive branch. This can be described as prescribing harmonised inter-organisational (vertical) and cross-institutional (horizontal) connectedness of people and entities.

The two diagrams below outline the concept of inter-organisational and cross-institutional (vertical and horizontal) inclusivity and harmonisation. They illustrate multilayered participation in the policy-making process and organisational parallelism at the policy level.

The left-hand figure is a simple illustration of vertical inclusivity, connecting the different administrative levels managing policy-making and implementation. Establishing connectedness for the top policy segment can be achieved through an institutionalised central platform for policy management and coordination.

The right-hand figure is an example of a harmonised organisational structure – a broad outline of the proposed organisational hierarchy in a policy-making platform. It could be replicated across ministries to achieve the organisational parallelism needed for better policy coordination.

A well-structured organisational framework for policy management

This refers to establishing a dedicated, multilayered organisational structure and a cadre of professionals within policy institutions to support leaders and principals (presidents, prime ministers, ministers, governors, heads of public authorities, etc.). This framework should supplement the current operations cadre in terms of mandate, governance and management.

Organisational parallelism

This refers to building a harmonised organisational framework across institutions, which is essential for advancing policy coordination.

Policy coherence and continuity

This refers to establishing an institutionalised process that provides strategic guidance for coherent economic and social policies and priorities, that sets the main policy targets for the short and medium term, and that monitors implementation at the national level. The role could be filled by a ‘National Economic Council’, serving as an official policy coordination platform, along with other complementary reforms.

Social inclusivity

Revamping communications with different public spheres is key to promoting inclusiveness, transparency and policy predictability. This will require advancing public policy debates as well as developing communication strategies at all government levels. Effective communication improves the level of economic literacy and narrows the ‘credibility gap’, which in turn strengthens the credibility of economic policy.

Communication is also an important tool of accountability. As policy objectives and key performance indicators become better articulated, it allows the public to monitor and evaluate the government’s performance. Hence, designing and implementing a communication strategy is a necessary component of the process of economic policy formulation.

Complementarity

Although some programmes or policy measures may need longer to develop and materialise, due consideration should be given to phasing in these actions as elements of a larger compact on comprehensive reform.

Building an institutional process for economic policy management and coordination in MENA countries is essential to improve policy consistency and effectiveness.

Further reading

Al-Mashat, Rania (2017) World Economic Forum blog on globalisation, published during the annual conference in Davos.

Dimian, Hany, and Rania Al-Mashat (2015) ‘Helping Advance the Economic Policy Making and Management Process in Egypt: Initial Institutional Aspects for the Executive Branch’, Rockefeller Brothers and Japan International Cooperation Agency.

Gaspar, Vitor, Maurice Obstfeld and Ratna Sahay (2016) ‘Macroeconomic Management When Policy Space is Constrained: A Comprehensive, Consistent, and Coordinated Approach to Economic Policy’, IMF Staff Discussion Note No. 16/09.

Most read

Trust in Lebanon’s public institutions: a challenge for the new leadership

Lebanon’s new leadership confronts daunting economic challenges amid geopolitical tensions across the wider region. As this column explains, understanding what has happened over the past decade to citizens’ trust in key public institutions – parliament, the government and the armed forces – will be a crucial part of the policy response.

Climate change: a growing threat to sustainable development in Tunisia

Tunisia’s vulnerability to extreme weather events is intensifying, placing immense pressure on vital sectors such as agriculture, energy and water resources, exacerbating inequalities and hindering social progress. This column explores the economic impacts of climate change on the country, its implications for achieving the sustainable development goals, and the urgent need for adaptive strategies and policy interventions.

Small businesses in the Great Lockdown: lessons for crisis management

Understanding big economic shocks like Covid-19 and how firms respond to them is crucial for mitigating their negative effects and accelerating the post-crisis recovery. This column reports evidence on how small and medium-sized enterprises in Tunisia’s formal business sector adapted to the pandemic and the lockdown – and draws policy lessons for when the next crisis hits.

Assessing Jordan’s progress on the sustainable development goals

Global, regional and national assessments of countries’ progress towards reaching the sustainable development goals do not always tell the same story. This column examines the case of Jordan, which is among the world’s leaders in statistical performance on the SDGs.

Qatarisation: playing the long game on workforce nationalisation

As national populations across the Gulf have grown and hydrocarbon reserves declined, most Gulf countries have sought to move to a more sustainable economic model underpinned by raising the share of citizens in the productive private sector. But, as this column explains, Qatar differs from its neighbours in several important ways that could render aggressive workforce nationalization policies counterproductive. In terms of such policies, the country should chart its own path.

The threat of cybercrime in MENA economies

The MENA region’s increasing access to digital information and internet usage has led to an explosion in e-commerce and widespread interest in cryptocurrencies. At the same time, cybercrime, which includes hacking, malware, online fraud and harassment, has spread across digital networks. This column outlines the challenges.

Economic consequences of the 2003 Bam earthquake in Iran

Over the decades, Iran has faced numerous devastating natural disasters, including the deadly 2003 Bam earthquake. This column reports evidence on the unexpected economic boost in Bam County and its neighbours after the disaster – the result of a variety of factors, including national and international aid, political mobilisation and the region’s cultural significance. Using data on the intensity of night-time lights in a geographical area, the research reveals how disaster recovery may lead to a surprising economic rebound.

Qatar’s pursuit of government excellence: promises and pitfalls

As Qatar seeks to make the transition from a hydrocarbon-based economy to a diversified, knowledge-based economy, ‘government excellence’ has been identified as a key strategic objective. This column reports what government effectiveness means in terms of delivery of public services, digitalisation of services, and control of corruption – and outlines the progress made to date on these development priorities and what the country needs to do to meet its targets.

The impact of climate change and resource scarcity on conflict in MENA

The interrelationships between climate change, food production, economic instability and violent conflict have become increasingly relevant in recent decades, with climate-induced economic shocks intensifying social and political tensions, particularly in resource-constrained regions like MENA. This column reports new evidence on the impact of climate change on economic and food production outcomes – and how economic stability, agricultural productivity and shared water resources affect conflict. While international aid, economic growth and food security reduce the likelihood of conflict, resource scarcity and shared water basins contribute to high risks of conflict.

Education and health in Tunisia: is human capital at risk?

Tunisia has made significant strides in enhancing the skills, knowledge and health of its population, all cornerstones of economic growth and social progress. This column examines the state of the country’s education and healthcare systems, identifying structural weaknesses that could jeopardise human capital and, by extension, progress towards achieving the sustainable development goals.