Economic Research Forum (ERF)

How to slow climate change while fighting poverty

775
Falling aid budgets and ballooning debt in the developing world are impediments to climate action. As this Foreign Policy column explains, green aid projects can bring poorer countries on board.

In a nutshell

Pivoting towards green aid should be seen as an opportunity to bring together advanced and developing countries to fight decisively against climate change without losing sight of the fight against poverty.

Green aid encompasses financial and technical assistance to governments and direct investments in projects for mitigating and adapting to climate change – including building dams, preserving forests and managing biodiversity and coastal areas.

To pivot towards greener aid, the international community must first tackle the looming debt crisis in developing countries; failure to resolve that would simply make green aid a transfer to private creditors at a time when governments need resources.

This year’s UN Climate Change Conference, or COP27 – which opened on 6 November in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt – has been called ‘Africa’s COP’. Voices from developing economies, most prominently Barbadian prime minister Mia Mottley, have become louder in demanding that richer countries compensate them for ‘loss and damage’.

That term, used in climate negotiations, refers to the irreversible consequences caused by climate change to which poor countries or communities cannot adapt. When options to adapt exist, they are not affordable to these countries or communities. The debate over loss and damage is occurring at a time when the future of traditional aid is in doubt. Indeed, political support for aid budgets has been dwindling.

Donor countries have increasingly been under pressure from a series of crises – from the global financial crisis in 2008 to the Covid-19 pandemic to Russia’s war in Ukraine – which have raised their debt levels. Fiscal and monetary space is increasingly limited, and taxpayers are facing rising costs of living. Politicians in advanced economies will increasingly face the difficult choice between giving citizens more financial support at home and providing aid internationally.

In the past few years, several donors have announced significant reductions in the amount of allocated development aid. The UK, an historically committed aid donor, is a case in point. Last year, the UK government passed a motion to reduce its aid by 0.2% of gross national income. The recent turmoil the country faced in financial markets signalled potentially more global turbulence, which will push even richer countries to consider cutting foreign aid further. Other countries, such as Australia, Japan and Saudi Arabia, have also scaled back their aid packages.

What is needed, however, is not less but more aid to help developing countries tackle the dramatic consequences of an unprecedented series of crises. Indeed, developing countries, unlike advanced economies, had no fiscal, monetary or social space at the onset of these crises.

Former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers recently warned about the dangers for the international community of not stepping up to support developing countries. He pointed to the mounting risks to the global economy, which will have disproportionate consequences for developing countries and risk further fracturing the cohesion of the global community.

One key priority for the global community is not only to increase aid but also to make it much greener to help developing countries tackle the challenge of climate adaptation. Green aid encompasses financial and technical assistance to governments and direct investments in projects in both mitigation and adaptation to climate change.

Examples of green projects include building dams to generate hydroelectricity, such as the Three Gorges Dam in China, and preserving forests, such as in the Congo Basin or the Amazon, which have a major role in the global climate system. Other avenues for green project investments include managing biodiversity and coastal areas, fostering ecotourism, and addressing environmental health hazards.

These projects can be operated at the regional, national or community level. Adaptation projects, which developing countries need most urgently, have become the orphan of the fight against climate change. That is because governments in developing countries lack the financial resources. And without a financial backstop, the private sector will not invest in certain green projects, especially those linked to adaptation.

The need for green aid has never been greater, especially as private sector investment flows toward green projects are faltering. Indeed, the high hopes for private sector-led green investment raised by the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero, a coalition of leading financial institutions committed to accelerating the energy transition, have been dampened.

The coalition carried the promise to tap into the massive global saving glut and direct a large chunk of it towards green investments. The $130 trillion announced in November 2021 in available financing from investors towards green assets is being scaled down, and private sector actors are quietly reneging on their climate finance promises.

Russia’s war in Ukraine has rekindled concerns about energy security and put the energy transition on the back burner. High natural gas prices have led large economies such as Germany but also China and India to resort to coal. It is ironic that European countries, which have for years reprimanded developing countries for their use of dirty fuels, are now scaling up their consumption of coal.

Developing countries have long been arguing that it is in their rights to exploit fossil fuels and that the burden of cutting emissions should be on richer nations. Relying on dirty energy becomes even more important if they fear aid may not be forthcoming.

More green aid in the form of financial guarantees can help to boost private investments in green projects that would not otherwise be viable. To avoid gridlock between rich and poor countries at COP27, green aid must play a central role as a catalyst for the private sector to invest in climate action.

To pivot from traditional aid towards greener aid, the international community must first tackle the looming debt crisis in developing countries. The G20-sponsored Common Framework for debt treatment, which requires private creditors to participate on comparable terms to overcome the collective action problem, has thus far failed to deliver a comprehensive solution to debt restructuring.

The World Bank’s chief economist, Indermit Gill, recently argued that the Common Framework needs to be akin to the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries Initiative, launched in 1996, so that all developing countries get equal and speedy treatment. In other words, debt relief for developing countries needs to be expedited.

Failure to resolve that looming debt crisis would simply make any green aid a transfer to private creditors at a time when developing countries’ governments need resources. Furthermore, in a recent report, the United Nations proposed a framework for debt-for-climate swaps, in which debtor governments would agree to take action to reduce emissions in exchange for a partial cancellation of their debt.

Yet measuring the impact of climate actions will first and foremost rest on availability of data and disclosure standards. Adhering to these observable standards is also key to attracting private green investment. International organisations should develop these standards, and national regulators should enforce them. The private sector’s environmental, social and governance (ESG) standards, which are usually adopted on a voluntary basis, have been plagued with greenwashing, such as the Dieselgate scandal, when Volkswagen faked emissions levels in its cars between 2006 and 2015.

Other forms of greenwashing include conspicuous ads boasting about the eco-friendliness of major oil companies that have otherwise been facing major litigation for their deliberate actions around the developing world. As the criticism of ESG cements itself and money flows out of ESG funds, international organisations need urgently to set a standard and adhere to it.

Concretely, the Finance in Common initiative, which brings together most development banks – together representing $2.2 trillion of lending activity annually – could adopt a common green standard as a group. The catalytic effect of such standard-setting by development banks could be enormous as it spills over to government agencies and private sector actors.

Making aid greener is not about reallocating traditional aid towards a specific sector that is environmentally friendly. Green aid is truly about scaling up and transforming aid.

An important breakthrough at COP27 could come from donor countries extending a significant package of green aid through development banks, with the World Bank in the lead. Calls for extending the investing capacity of development banks, including by leveraging their balance sheets, have become louder. More needs to be done to ensure that additional aid is transformative.

In a recent speech, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen spoke about the urgent need for a ‘road map’ for development partners to coordinate and support poorer countries in these dire times. The pivot towards green aid should be seen as an opportunity to bring together advanced and developing countries to fight decisively against climate change without losing sight of the fight against poverty.

This article was originally published by Foreign Policy. Read the original article.

Most read

Happiness in the Arab world: should we be concerned?

Several Arab countries have low rankings in the latest comparative assessment of average happiness across the world. But as this column explains, the average is not a reliable summary statistic when applied to ordinal data. The evidence from more robust analysis of socio-economic inequality in happiness suggests that policy-makers should be less concerned about happiness indicators than the core development objective of more equitable social conditions for citizens.

It’s too early to tell what happened to the Arab Spring

Did the Arab Spring fail? This column presents a view the consensus view from ERF’s recent annual conference in Morocco: careful analysis of the fundamental drivers of democratic transitions suggests that it’s too early to tell.

Arab regional cooperation in a fragmenting world

As globalisation stalls, regionalisation has emerged as an alternative. This column argues that Arab countries need to face the new realities and move decisively towards greater mutual cooperation. A regional integration agenda that also supports domestic reforms could be an important source of growth, jobs and stability.

Reformed foreign ownership rules in UAE: the impact on business entry

In an effort to stimulate economic growth and diversify the economy, the government of the United Arab Emirates has recently implemented regulatory reform that allows 100% foreign ownership of companies operating in the country. This column examines the implications of the reform for entry of new firms in Dubai, using unique data on new business licences in the emirate.

Self-employment in MENA: the role of religiosity and personal values

How important are individual’s values and beliefs in influencing the likelihood that they will embrace the responsibilities, risks and entrepreneurial challenge of self-employment? This column presents evidence from 12 countries in the Middle East and North African region on the roles of people’s religiosity and sense of personal agency in their labour market choices.

Gender differences in business record-keeping and planning in Iraq

Only one in every ten informal businesses in Iraq is led by a woman. Yet as research summarised in this column reveals, those businesses are more likely to set budgets and sales targets, and to keep business records. This may be evidence of the role of social exclusion in motivating greater reliance on the formal bureaucratic system.

Conflict and debt in the Middle East and North Africa

With the global economy is in its third year of deceleration amid declining inflation and oil prices, the Middle East and North Africa grew by just 1.9% in 2023, with a forecast for growth in 2024 at 2.7%. In addition to heightened uncertainty brought on by the conflict centred in Gaza, many countries in the region are also grappling with pre-existing vulnerabilities, including rising debt levels. This column summarises a new report that unpacks the nature of debt in MENA – and explains the critical importance of keeping rising debt stocks in check.

Making aid-for-trade more effective in the MENA region

Aid-for-trade represents an important opportunity for developing countries to enhance their trade capacities. But the positive effect of aid-for-trade on exports can hinge on the quality of institutions in recipient countries. According to research reported in this column, in the Middle East and North Africa, it is specific aid types – such as aid to support trade policy reform and aid to enhance productive capacities – that matter most for exports.

Sanctions and carbon emissions in Iran

How are Iran’s energy use and emissions of carbon dioxide affected by the imposition of economic sanctions? This column summarises new research that analyses a range of different scenarios and which takes account of multiple economic, social and environmental dimensions, notably what happens to growth and energy intensity, and whether sanctions are lifted.

Can a free trade area in services boost trade within the Arab region?

With trade in goods among Arab countries remaining modest, trade in services could play the pivotal role of an engine of growth in economic integration within the region, as well greater participation in global value chains. This column outlines progress to date and what needs to be done to make a success of AFTAS, the Arab free trade area in services.




LinkedIn