Economic Research Forum (ERF)

What would a basic income mean for the Arab world?

2267
The idea of a regular, unconditional and individual cash payment distributed to all citizens is gaining ground. This column argues that such a basic income would ensure that everyone is able to meet their basic needs unconditionally, thereby improving people’s resilience and solidifying communities. Ultimately, a basic income could help to rebuild the social contract in the Arab world where governments would uphold human dignity by awarding citizens economic security as a right.

In a nutshell

What a regular, individual and predictable basic income has done is make people more engaged in productive activities, start own-account work and carry out small productive investments such as purchase of cattle and sewing machines.

A key opportunity is to restructure peace-building programmes to include a basic income for countries coming out of conflict, ensuring that reconstruction funds reach those most often side-lined in traditional post-conflict situations.

While policy-makers are often reluctant to trust the poor with unconditional cash, it has been consistently shown that the most vulnerable are in fact best placed to know where their priorities lie and spend accordingly.

The policy tool called basic income – a regular, unconditional and individual cash payment distributed to all – has gained significant attention globally. The main driver is its potential to mitigate social and economic inequalities (Standing, 2020), which have been made only more visible through Covid-19 (Wignaraja and Horvath, 2020). There have been over 20 basic income pilots around the world, with particularly transformational results in trials in India (Davala et al, 2015) and Namibia (Haarmann et al, 2009).

Let’s contemplate what a basic income would mean for the citizens of Egypt, Iraq, Lebanon, Morocco, Syria and the rest of the Arab world. A monthly unconditional cash allowance would ensure basic economic security to recipients. Its predictability would decrease people’s stress levels in seeking to meet their needs. Citizens’ mental bandwidth could then expand beyond their immediate necessities.

A sense of dignity is restored as basic income is awarded as a right and is non-withdrawable. Rather than mere supplicants for welfare, people are thus treated as the adults they are. With their basic needs met, citizens are empowered to contemplate different productive activities in which to engage, ones that they are eager to sustain to contribute to their communities. With better prospects for the future, a sense of expanded trust towards others is then possible. This will strengthen overall resilience.

Some deem basic income a controversial policy tool because it essentially allocates a regular sum of cash without any behavioural conditions or considerations of poverty levels. But it is worth noting that the current economic system already awards considerable amounts of cash in exchange for ‘nothing’.

Think about wealth inheritance, exorbitant tax breaks to affluent companies or tax avoidance by the rich who use public services free of charge (Standing, 2017). If we accept these forms of wealth transfers and exemptions in exchange for what essentially is nothing particularly productive, a basic income may represent a form of reparation to equalise the playing field for those without access to such wealth transfers.

Others argue that a basic income will encourage laziness, idleness and the consumption of illicit goods. But no such behaviour has been evidenced in trials of basic income nor of the more traditional forms of cash transfers common in humanitarian and development settings (Bastagli et al, 2016; Evans and Popova, 2014).

Indeed, as shown in the basic income pilot in India, if anything, beneficiaries of unconditional cash work more and sit less, as they have less free time on their hands. What a regular, individual and predictable basic income has done is make people more engaged in productive activities, start own-account work and carry out small productive investments such as purchase of cattle and sewing machines.

Being awarded universally in the community where it has been tested, a basic income encourages common decision-making and solidarity (Davala et al, 2017). Reasons for this transformational impact rest in individual economic security and the empowerment it ensures.

How could such a policy tool be funded? One suggestion is to include a basic income in the development toolbox of international organisations (Bashur, 2022).

Specifically, a key opportunity is to restructure peace-building programmes to include a basic income for countries coming out of conflict. This would ensure that rather than channelling reconstruction funds through the private sector as was done in Lebanon and Iraq (Abboud, 2014), at least some funds reach those most often side-lined in traditional post-conflict reconstruction programmes. Failing to address the livelihoods and resilience of the most vulnerable would only entrench inequalities and deepen social fragmentation.

Other forms of funding include restructuring extensive subsidies on fossil fuel products (Standing, 2017), which take up large sums of public expenditure across the countries of the Middle East. Subsidised goods such as fuel and electricity are most often regressive in nature, meaning that they benefit those who consume more. The recent decision in Lebanon to lift subsidies goes in the right direction. But savings from reducing subsidies should be distributed directly to individuals by way of a basic income.

Beyond funding considerations, what is the main hurdle for implementing such a policy? What is essentially at stake is a question of trust: policy-makers are reluctant to trust the poor with unconditional cash for fear that they will squander it, spending it on unproductive endeavours and essentially wasting it.

But it has been consistently shown that the most vulnerable are in fact best placed to know where their priorities lie and spend accordingly. For this, supporting the introduction of a basic income would be a real test to the ultimate aims of entities funding colossal aid programmes designed to advance a country’s development.

Importantly, what a basic income could mean for the Arab world is extracting the all-too-pervasive footprint of donors and their embassies in countries’ internal affairs. Rather than foreign capitals, governments’ strongest backers are inevitably their citizens – as long as they treat them with respect and uphold their dignity.

This reality is how states function, yet it somehow seems to escape governments of the Middle East. A basic income could help to mend this broken social contract.

 

Further reading

Abboud, S (2014) ‘Comparative perspectives on the challenges of Syrian reconstruction’, Carnegie Middle East Center.

Bashur, D (2022, forthcoming) ‘Does Basic Income have a role in Peacebuilding?’

Bastagli, F, J Hagen-Zanker, L Harman, V Barca, G Sturge, T Schmidt and L Pellerano (2016) ‘Cash transfers: what does the evidence say? A rigorous review of programme impact and the role of design and implementation features’, Overseas Development Institute (ODI).

Evans, DK, and A Popova (2014) ‘Cash Transfers and Temptation Goods: A Review of Global Evidence’, World Bank, Africa Region, Policy Research Working Paper 6886.

Davala, S, R Jhabvala, S Kapoor Mehta and G Standing (2015) Basic Income: A Transformative Policy for India, Bloomsbury Academic.

Davala, S, R Jhabvala, G Standing and N Badyaiyan (2017) ‘Piloting Basic Income – A Legacy Study, Final Report’, SEWA Bharat and INBI.

Haarmann, C, D Haarmann, H Jauch, H Shindondola-Mote, N Nattrass, I van Niekerk and M Samson (2009) Making the Difference! The BIG in Namibia – Assessment Report – Basic Income Grant Pilot Project, Basic Income Grant.

Standing, G (2017) Basic Income: And How We Can Make It Happen, Pelican.

Standing, G (2020) Battling Eight Giants – Basic Income Now, IB Tauris.

Wignaraja, K, and B Horvath (2020) World Economic Forum.

Most read

Sanctions and the shrinking size of Iran’s middle class

International sanctions imposed on Iran from 2012 have reduced the size of the country’s middle class, according to new research summarised in this column. The findings highlight the profound social consequences of economic pressure, not least given the crucial role of that segment of society for national innovation, growth and stability. The study underscores the need for policies to safeguard the civilian population in countries targeted by sanctions.

Artificial intelligence and the renewable energy transition in MENA

Artificial intelligence has the potential to bridge the gap between abundant natural resources and the pressing need for reliable, sustainable power in the Middle East and North Africa. This column outlines the constraints and proposes policies that can address the challenges of variability of renewable resources and stress on power grids, and support the transformation of ‘sunlight’ to ‘smart power’.

Green jobs for MENA in the age of AI: crafting a sustainable labour market

Arab economies face a dual transformation: the decarbonisation imperative driven by climate change; and the rapid digitalisation brought by artificial intelligence. This column argues that by strategically managing the green-AI nexus, policy-makers in the region can position their countries not merely as followers adapting to global mandates but as leaders in sustainable innovation.

Egypt’s forgotten democratisation: a challenge to modern myths about MENA

A widely held narrative asserts that countries in the Middle East are inevitably authoritarian. This column reports new research that tracks Egyptian parliamentarians since 1824 to reveal that the region’s struggle with democracy is not in fact about cultural incompatibility: it’s about colonialism disrupting home-grown democratic movements and elite conflicts being resolved through disenfranchisement rather than power-sharing.

MENA integration into global value chains and sustainable development

Despite the geopolitical advantages, abundant natural resources and young populations of many countries in the Middle East and North Africa, they remain on the periphery of global value chains, the international networks of production and service activities that now dominate the world economy. This column explains the positive impact of integration into GVCs on exports and employment; its role in technology transfer and capacity upgrading; and the structural barriers that constrain the region’s involvement. Greater GVC participation can help to deliver structural transformation and sustainable development.

Arab youth and the future of work

The Arab region’s labour markets are undergoing a triple transformation: demographic, digital and green. As this column explains, whether these forces evolve into engines of opportunity or drivers of exclusion for young people will hinge on how swiftly and coherently policy-makers can align education, technology and employment systems to foster adaptive skills, inclusive institutions and innovation-led pathways to decent work.

Wrong finance in a broken multilateral system: red flags from COP30-Belém

With the latest global summit on climate action recently wrapped up, ambitious COP pledges and initiatives continue to miss delivery due to inadequate commitments, weak operationalisation and unclear reporting systems. As this column reports, flows of climate finance remain skewed: loans over grants; climate mitigation more than climate adaptation; and weak accountability across mechanisms. Without grant-based finance, debt relief, climate-adjusted lending and predictable multilateral flows, implementation of promises will fail.

Why political connections are driving business confidence in MENA

This column reports the findings of a new study of how the political ties of firms in the Middle East and North Africa boost business confidence. The research suggests that this optimism is primarily driven by networked access to credit and lobbying, underscoring the need for greater transparency and institutional reform in corporate governance.

Digitalising governance in MENA: opportunities for social justice

Can digital governance promote social justice in MENA – or does it risk deepening inequality and exclusion? This column examines the evolution of digital governance in three sub-regions – Egypt, Jordan and the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council – highlighting how data practices, transparency mechanisms and citizen trust shape the social outcomes of technological reform.