Economic Research Forum (ERF)

Harnessing technology for export growth by small businesses

1012
What policy actions can help small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to enhance their integration into the global market for goods, services and ideas? This column outlines recommendations in a new book on the opportunities and challenges facing SMEs in developing countries, focusing in particular on the role of digital technology in supporting SMEs in Arab economies to export and grow.

In a nutshell

New tools of digital technology can facilitate cross-border e-commerce and participation in global markets for smaller and new entrants.

Technology-enabled firms are much more likely to export, to export to more destinations and to survive in the marketplace.

Policy in MENA countries needs to respond to these developments: by providing regulatory clarity, investing in digital literacy and entrepreneurship skills, identifying digital economy opportunities in export markets and improving payment systems.

Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are the backbone of Arab economies, accounting for 10-40% of their employment. But these figures are likely to be significantly under-reported in official records given that the typical country in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region employs 67% of its labour force informally.

MENA has 22 SMEs per 1,000 inhabitants, the highest density of any developing region. Yet in most countries in the region, SMEs are responsible for only a tiny share of the value of gross exports.

Participating in global value chains, which have become the dominant feature of world trade, provides opportunities for SMEs to enhance their integration into global markets for goods, services and investment. Such involvement can lower barriers to exporting by accommodating specialisation in narrow business functions, thereby obviating the need for a firm to develop a complex production process in-house and lessening its dependence on the degree of industrial development of the home country.

These aspects are especially important for SMEs, for which the best metaphor would not be a chain but a ladder. The disaggregation of production into separate stages allows SMEs not only to find their place on the ladder, but also to move up the rungs as their capabilities improve. Global value chains encourage that upward movement by rewarding skills, learning and innovation.

The relatively low weight of SMEs in exports at the total economy level partly reflects compositional effects and associated economies of scale. Exporting SMEs are significantly under-represented in (tangible) capital-intensive sectors, such as transport equipment. But they compare favourably in the services sector and in heterogeneous sectors where specialisation and branding can drive export penetration.

Firm size also affects the capacity to enter more distant and possibly more protected markets. In 2011, for example, SMEs in the European Union (EU) accounted for 37% of intra-EU exports but only 28% of extra-EU exports. Indeed, in most countries, SMEs typically export disproportionately more to neighbouring countries than do larger firms.

Our research points to signs that some SMEs are managing to internationalise by taking advantage of better access to digital technology, including the internet and mobile telecoms (Cusolito et al, 2016). The internet dramatically reduces the cost of finding buyers for SMEs, both domestically and globally.

Our research finds that technology-enabled firms are much more likely to export, to export to more destinations and to survive in the marketplace. Similarly, SMEs and new firms are likely to have a larger role in the export mix for technology-enabled trade than for traditional trade. Figure 1 makes this comparison for Jordan.

There is some evidence of the emergence of ‘micro-multinationals’ – small and young firms that are global from their inception. New digital tools can facilitate cross-border e-commerce and participation in global markets for smaller and new entrants – for example, Skype for communications, Google and Dropbox for file sharing, LinkedIn for finding talent, PayPal for transactions and eBay and Amazon for sales.

Evidence shows that an increasing number of producers in developing countries are selling using the internet, either through their own websites or through web portals such as eBay and Alibaba. Business-to-consumer e-commerce reached $1.5 trillion globally in 2014 and is growing at 25% per year, and even more rapidly in the MENA region (see Table 1). Business-to-business e-commerce may be even larger.

Much of this trade is export trade. By 2020, global online sales will amount to $10 trillion, with annual growth of 20% for business-to-consumer and 7.7% for business-to-business transactions. Much of that growth will originate in emerging markets, where the adoption of digital technology continues to rise rapidly.

Enhancing access to digital networks and enabling SMEs to engage in e-commerce can be an effective way for small MENA firms to go global and even grow across borders where they can become competitors in niche markets. But many potential gains could be lost without changes in the basic framework conditions facing MENA SMEs.

One important component concerns the regulatory burden. The administrative burden generated by governments for starting and running companies can be significant, but online government portals for information on business creation and registration can help lower the burden.

There are also barriers that limit competition that need to be addressed for economies to benefit fully from the internet. Regulatory and trade barriers persistently inhibit entrepreneurs from accessing domestic and foreign markets.

There are significant impediments to the ability of MENA SMEs to exploit the internet fully for exporting. While many have internet access, they either do not have websites through which they can do business, or they have limited understanding of how to leverage the internet as part of their business plan.

According to studies of Egypt, entrepreneurs also face systemic and cultural barriers to digital trade, which is an important enabler of participation in global value chains, particularly in the services sector. These barriers include:

  • inadequate or costly telecoms infrastructure, including internet access;
  • lack of digital literacy and skills, resulting in an unqualified labour force and uninformed consumers;
  • unclear legal and regulatory systems and standards;
  • difficulties with accessing electronic payment systems;
  • complex and unreliable logistics and distribution networks;
  • and lack of ‘one-stop-shop’ facilities to ease digital trade.

Access to larger markets and the possibility of specialising in tasks or stages of production (rather than building entire vertical supply chains) offers huge opportunities for smaller businesses and start-ups in MENA. Technology, notably the internet, is offering further opportunities for dynamic SMEs.

Policy needs to respond to these developments. But reducing existing barriers to digital trade and improving access to global markets will require a holistic approach to provide regulatory clarity, to invest in digital literacy and entrepreneurship skills, to identify digital economy opportunities in export markets and to improve payment systems.

Further reading

Cusolito, Ana Paula, Raed Safadi and Daria Taglioni (2016) Inclusive Global Value Chains: Policy Options for Small and Medium Enterprises and Low-Income Countries,  Directions in Development: Trade, World Bank/OECD.

Figure 1: Jordan: performance of technology-enabled versus traditional exporters

 

Source: eBay 2014, 33.

Table 1: Global business-to-consumer e-commerce marketplace by region, 2012-17

(US$, billions; average annual growth, %)

Region 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CAGR (%)
Asia-Pacific 301.2 383.9 525.2 681.2 855.7 1052.9 50
North America 379.5 461.0 482.6 538.3 597.9 660.4 15
Western Europe 277.5 312.0 347.4 382.7 414.2 445.0 12
Central and Eastern Europe 41.5 49.5 58.0 64.4 68.9 73.1 15
Latin America 37.6 48.1 57.7 64.9 70.6 74.6 20
Middle East and Africa 20.6 27.0 33.8 69.5 45.5 51.4 30
Worldwide 1,058 1,215 1,505 1,771 2,053 2,357 25

Source: eMarketer, cited in Suominen, 2014.

Note: CAGR = compound annual growth rate.

Most read

Trust in Lebanon’s public institutions: a challenge for the new leadership

Lebanon’s new leadership confronts daunting economic challenges amid geopolitical tensions across the wider region. As this column explains, understanding what has happened over the past decade to citizens’ trust in key public institutions – parliament, the government and the armed forces – will be a crucial part of the policy response.

Growth in the Middle East and North Africa

What is the economic outlook for the Middle East and North Africa? How is the current conflict centred in Gaza affecting economies in the region? What are the potential long-term effects of conflict on development? And which strategies can MENA countries adopt to accelerate economic growth? This column outlines the findings in the World Bank’s latest half-yearly MENA Economic Update, which answers these questions and more.

Climate change: a growing threat to sustainable development in Tunisia

Tunisia’s vulnerability to extreme weather events is intensifying, placing immense pressure on vital sectors such as agriculture, energy and water resources, exacerbating inequalities and hindering social progress. This column explores the economic impacts of climate change on the country, its implications for achieving the sustainable development goals, and the urgent need for adaptive strategies and policy interventions.

Assessing Jordan’s progress on the sustainable development goals

Global, regional and national assessments of countries’ progress towards reaching the sustainable development goals do not always tell the same story. This column examines the case of Jordan, which is among the world’s leaders in statistical performance on the SDGs.

Small businesses in the Great Lockdown: lessons for crisis management

Understanding big economic shocks like Covid-19 and how firms respond to them is crucial for mitigating their negative effects and accelerating the post-crisis recovery. This column reports evidence on how small and medium-sized enterprises in Tunisia’s formal business sector adapted to the pandemic and the lockdown – and draws policy lessons for when the next crisis hits.

Unleashing the potential of Egyptian exports for sustainable development

Despite several waves of trade liberalisation, Egypt’s integration in the world economy has remained modest. In addition, the structure of its exports has not changed and remains largely dominated by traditional products. This column argues that the government should develop a new export strategy that is forward-looking by taking account not only of the country’s comparative advantage, but also how global demand evolves. The strategy should also be more inclusive and more supportive of sustainable development.

The threat of cybercrime in MENA economies

The MENA region’s increasing access to digital information and internet usage has led to an explosion in e-commerce and widespread interest in cryptocurrencies. At the same time, cybercrime, which includes hacking, malware, online fraud and harassment, has spread across digital networks. This column outlines the challenges.

Rising influence: women’s empowerment within Arab households

In 2016 and again in 2022, a reliable poll of public opinion in the Arab world asked respondents in seven countries whether they agreed with the statement that ‘a man should have final say in all decisions concerning the family’. As this column reports, the changing balance of responses between the two surveys gives an indication of whether there been progress in the distribution of decision-making within households towards greater empowerment of women.

Macroeconomic policy-making for sustainable development in Egypt

In recent years, economic policy in Egypt has been focused primarily on macroeconomic stabilisation to curb inflation, to reduce the fiscal deficit and the current account deficit, and to increase GDP growth. As this column explains, this has come at the expense of the country’s progress on the Sustainable Development Goals, which is rather modest compared with other economies in the region or at the same income level. Sustainable development needs to be more integrated with the conception and implementation of fiscal and monetary policies.

Economic consequences of the 2003 Bam earthquake in Iran

Over the decades, Iran has faced numerous devastating natural disasters, including the deadly 2003 Bam earthquake. This column reports evidence on the unexpected economic boost in Bam County and its neighbours after the disaster – the result of a variety of factors, including national and international aid, political mobilisation and the region’s cultural significance. Using data on the intensity of night-time lights in a geographical area, the research reveals how disaster recovery may lead to a surprising economic rebound.